Please note: this tool provides a general, indicative overview based on generally available information. Results are AI-generated estimates only, are not verified figures or advice, and may not be accurate or up to date — read the full disclaimer.
Phase 2 has started

The carbon tax you paid last year is not the carbon tax you pay now

South Africa's Carbon Tax Act covers roughly 90% of the country's greenhouse gas emissions. Phase 2 began on 1 January 2026: the headline rate rose from R236 to R308 a tonne, and the tax-free allowances that softened Phase 1 are being narrowed. Most companies feel the second change harder than the first.

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The external problem

The rate went up 30.5% and the allowances came down at the same time. Your taxable share of emissions grew even if your fuel use did not.

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The internal problem

Most finance teams budgeted off last year's number. Few know their Scope 1 emissions well enough to say what the Phase 2 basis actually costs them.

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Why it matters

The published path runs to R462 a tonne by 2035, and the offset allowance — now up to 15% — is the lever most companies have never used.

Nobody should be surprised by a tax bill this size. This estimator gives you an honest ballpark of your carbon tax liability — so you can budget with numbers instead of hope.

The published rate path
Fiscal yearHeadline rate per tonne CO₂eYear on year
2024R190Baseline
2025R236↑ 24%
2026 — Phase 2 beginsR308↑ 30.5%
2035R462↑ long-term path

Rates as published by National Treasury. The estimator below compares a 2025 basis with a 2026 basis, because that comparison is what most budgets missed.

The SA Carbon Tax Estimator

Estimate your annual carbon tax liability

Enter the fuel your operations burn in a year. The estimator converts it to Scope 1 emissions, applies your allowance position, and shows you the 2025 basis against the 2026 one. Your numbers stay in your browser.

Your Scope 1 fuel use

Annual figures. Leave anything you do not burn at zero.

Emission factors used: diesel 2.68, petrol 2.31 kg CO₂e per litre; natural gas 56.1 kg CO₂e per GJ; coal 2 400 kg CO₂e per tonne.

Your 2026 carbon tax liability
R0
on 0 tCO₂e taxable, at R308 a tonne
An indicative estimate from the figures you enter, the published rates and a simplified allowance position — not a calculated assessment. Scope 1 fuel combustion only: process, fugitive and Scope 2 emissions are not included.
2025 basis
R236 a tonne · 65% allowances
R0
2026 basis — Phase 2
R308 a tonne · 60% allowances
R0
What Phase 2 adds each year
R0
Total Scope 1 emissions
0 tCO₂e
Largest source
—
Where your emissions come from

Send this estimate to SolveSA

Your figures and results are written straight into the request form — you only add your contact details.

Free, no obligation. A SolveSA advisor will walk you through your allowance position and the fastest ways to bring this number down.

This estimator is a free, high-level indicative tool. It applies generic emission factors to the fuel volumes you enter and a simplified allowance position; it is not a carbon tax calculation under the Carbon Tax Act. It covers Scope 1 fuel combustion only and does not model process or fugitive emissions, the carbon budget allowance, offset utilisation, the trade-exposure or performance allowances individually, petrol and diesel levy interactions, or your licensing and reporting position with SARS and the DFFE. Rates and allowances change. For a defensible liability figure, speak to a SolveSA advisor.

Step 2 of 2

Send your estimate to SolveSA

Everything you entered, and everything the estimator worked out, is already filled into the form below. Add your details and submit.

Your guide through the carbon tax

Turn a rising tax into a managed cost

SolveSA helps South African companies measure Scope 1 and 2 emissions properly, claim the allowances they are entitled to, build an offset position before it is needed, and file with confidence.

R308
per tonne from 2026
90%
of SA emissions covered
15%
offset allowance in Phase 2
Free
no cost, no obligation
The SolveSA carbon tax path

Three steps from exposed to in control

1

Size your liability

Use this free estimator to see what the Phase 2 basis costs you, and where the emissions actually come from.

2

Claim what you are owed

We work out your real allowance position — basic threshold, trade exposure, performance, offsets — instead of the standard assumption used here.

3

Reduce and report

We build the reduction and offset plan that lowers the bill, and the reporting that stands up to SARS and the DFFE.

The choice ahead

Guessing at your allowances is the expensive option

If you carry on with last year's assumptions

✗You budget off a R236 basis while the assessment comes in at R308, with less shielded.
✗Allowances you qualify for go unclaimed because nobody evidenced them.
✗Offsets are bought late, at the worst price, or not at all.

If you measure and act now

✓Your emissions inventory is defensible, so your taxable base is the real one.
✓Every allowance you qualify for is claimed and evidenced.
✓The offset allowance is used deliberately, as a cost lever rather than an afterthought.

Ready to turn a rising tax into a managed cost?

Estimate your liability in minutes, then book a no-obligation discovery session — we will map your fastest route to a lower, defensible carbon tax bill.

Use the estimator

Provided by SolveSA — Transformation Solutions, part of the Alternative Prosperity group. Tools, calculators and benchmarks published here are general, indicative overviews based on generally available information. They may not be accurate, complete or current, and they do not constitute advice — read the full disclaimer.